2022 SVB State of the US Wine Industry: An Exploration of Opportunities and Challenges for Boutique Wineries

2021 proved to be a promising year for the US wine industry, marked by rejuvenated sales opportunities, strong pandemic-era performance, and unprecedented mergers and acquisitions. In the aftermath of a global crisis, the industry experienced a good year, with almost 30 percent of winery owners hailing it as their best year ever.

Looking Back at 2021: What We Got Right, Partially Right, and Wrong

2021 was a year filled with predictions that hit and missed the mark. From the anticipated growth in direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales to unforeseen challenges, the industry's landscape was both familiar and surprising.

What We Got Right:

  • Reopening Opportunities: Tasting rooms, hotels, and restaurants reopened, boosting sales.

  • Internet Sales Performance: The online sales channel maintained its robust pandemic-era performance.

What We Got Partially Right:

  • Market Dynamics: Certain market predictions did not fully materialize, reflecting the complexity of the industry.

What We Got Wrong:

  • Unanticipated Challenges: Some unforeseen factors impacted the industry, underscoring the importance of adaptability.

2022 US Wine Business Predictions and Observations

2022 ushers in new opportunities and challenges for the wine industry. From supply and demand dynamics to the balance between tailwinds and headwinds, the year ahead promises to be exciting and demanding.

Top-level Forecasts:

  • Steady Growth: Expectations of continuous growth in various segments.

  • Price Dynamics: Considerations of price changes based on market conditions.

Supply and Demand:

  • Supply Challenges: Consecutive bad yields in California have impacted supply.

  • Demand Fluctuations: The industry faces demand changes, necessitating flexible strategies.

Packaging and Varietals:

  • Innovation in Packaging: Emphasis on new packaging techniques.

  • Varied Offerings: Exploration of different varietals to cater to diverse tastes.

Channel Trends and Changes

2022 brings changes to the ways wine reaches consumers, with notable shifts in on-premise and off-premise sales, digital channels, and premium winery sales.

  • Business Reopening: A resurgence of sales in reopened venues.

  • Digital Sales Growth: Continuous growth in online sales channels.

  • Premium Winery Shifts: Changes in how premium wineries are approaching sales.

Premium Winery Business Performance

Small wineries can look forward to performance benchmarks and insights to help guide their strategies.

  • Strong M&A Transactions: Mergers and acquisitions have reached a new high.

  • Opportunities for Growth: Many winery owners have experienced their best year, indicating potential for further growth.

Recommendations for Small Wineries

  • Adopt Digital Strategies: Leverage online sales and digital marketing to reach a wider audience.

  • Diversify Offerings: Experiment with different varietals and packaging to stand out.

  • Embrace Sustainability: Align with consumer demand for eco-friendly practices.

  • Monitor Market Trends: Stay abreast of changes in supply, demand, and pricing to make informed decisions.

  • Build Relationships: Cultivate connections with customers through personalized experiences, both online and offline.

The 2022 landscape for the US wine industry is fertile with possibilities, particularly for small wineries. By embracing change, honing strategies, and savoring the unique flavors of each opportunity, small wineries can look forward to a vintage year ahead. Let's toast to innovation, growth, and the endless pursuit of excellence. Cheers!

You can find the full report here.

Pedro Noyola

CEO of BBG; a CPG and Winery Accounting and Finance Expert with an MBA from Harvard Business School

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